Last year I posted often how I thought the chances of odds-on favourites and favourites in general were not as good when televised on Sky. Whether that is because favourites are stronger when televised because of the non-doggy folk backing jollies and it distorts the real picture I am not sure.
Last year backing every odds-on shot on Sky would have left you with a significant loss over the year.
2009 has been a disaster for punters. With only 4 meetings gone most punters are already playing catch up (look at the Sky Tipster Table above).
In the 32 races so far, favourites have won 12 of them (37.5%). Not too bad. But 20 out of 32 jollies were beaten. But look at the red hot favourites. There have been 13 races where the favourite has gone off at Evens or Odds-On. Only 4 have won. That's 9 hotpots from 13 that have been turned over. You are looking at HUGE losses for punters here.
When we look at the four finals - Prestige, Birmingham Cup, Springbok and the Arc - only one favourite obliged. That was Fear Zafonic who won the Birmingham Cup at 4/5. But the other three favourites were well beaten. Romeo Maldini was well beaten in the Prestige at odds of 4/6. Nebuchaddnazzer never lifted a leg in the Springbok at 4/5. Last night Even money jolly Shaneboy Luke made a complete hash of the start.
is there a jinx at work here?
Tough start to the year Johnny, lets hope we can turn things around otherwise I'll be sticking with the gee gee's!
Posted by: Ken | February 20, 2009 at 04:59 PM