m a n a b o u t d o g b l o g

NFL 2009/10: Week 3

Houston have started better than many thought, but I think this could be one for the punters.

Jacksonville Jaguars are receiving only 3.5pts on the spreads so to back them at 10/11 does not appeal to me.  17/10 for the Jags to win straight up appeals to this punter.

RECOMMENDATION: JAGUARS TO WIN IN HOUSTON 17/10 BET365

I'm not mad keen on backing teams giving points away so will avoid the Giants minus 10 or whatever these jokers are looking for. I got stung on the Giants a fortnight ago.  They will win in Tampa no problem (home of a very tasty troupe of cheearleaders incidentally.  I will back the Giants in an accumulator.

Looking for a couple of short (but not 1/7 Baltomore short) sure things is not that easy after 2 weeks of in and out results for punters.  But I think Minnesota hosting San Fransisco is a must avoid unless we are looking at the overs/unders market. Back to that in a minute.

San Diego can't lose to Miami - the Dolphins are fairly bad and the Chargers have the home advantage that makes the 2/5 palatable.

Dallas came unstuck in the Jones Mahal last week in front of 105,000 people WOW!! They won't this time around. Romo would want to focus a bit mind.

RECOMMENDATION: ROLLING TREBLE TOTAL ODDS 1.41/1

• Sun 6pm GIANTS TO WIN AT BUCCS 4/11 William Hill
• Sun 915pm CHARGERS TO BEAT DOLPHINS 2/5 Ladbrokes
• Tue 1.35am COWBOYS TO BEAT PANTHERS 5/19 Paddy Power

I am a very lucky boy as I will be in New Jersey on Sunday to watch the Jets take on the Titans.  I think it will be a close game and I think it will be a low scoring game - Rex Ryan has really tightened things up and Jets could be on for a winning season with a bit of luck. I will be purchasing a Sanchez shirt anyway - I think this kid is a star in the making.  I was at the Jets v Cardinals last year and there were many many touchdowns, this year 3 or 4 and we will be doing well. I shouldn't be hoping for a low scoring match but that's what we will get.  But saying all that the books have it as a low scorer too at 37 points which is about what i have it at - i think 35 points. But I was working on the premise that the makeup would be about 43 . No bet me thinks

RECOMMENDATION: TITANS AT JETS NO BET

So the Vikings are sailing on the good ship Brett - I cant complain as he has steered my fantasy team to 2 straight wins on the ESPN Betfair League. But I wouldn't bank on Favre to keep performing.  But there will be points galore. Frank Gore got 35 points on his own last week alone.

RECOMMENDATION: NINERS AT VIKINGS OVER 40.5 POINTS EVENS BOYLESPORTS

Saturday 6 (26/9/09)

I reverted to type last week scoring a 2pt loss.

NAP RECOMMENDATION: CORK Faypoint Dec

RECOMMENDATION: CORK Chicken Supper

NB RECOMMENDATION: CORK Oran Classic

RECOMMENDATION: WATERFORD Tyrur Liz

RECOMMENDATION: SHELBOURNE Cousin Con

RECOMMENDATION: SHELBOURNE Deanridge Fury

Premiership 2009/10: Week 7

Am just about holding my own this season so far.

This week I can see 2 'goal rush' type bets.

Spurs at home to Burnley - Spurs should win and the forwards will relish a chance the get off the lead and hopefully spank the Clarets.  Unfortunately I can't see them keeping a clean sheet - a 3-1 or 4-2 could be the order of the day.

RECOMMENDATION: SPURS V BURNLEY BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (PRICE TO BE CONFIRMED)

Arsenal are at Fulham and this should have lots of goals as well.

RECOMMENDATION: FULHAM V ARSENAL BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (PRICE TO BE CONFIRMED)

PREMIERSHIP 2009/10: 17 BETS 8 WINS PROFIT +1.68pts

Yarmouth Sky Card

Here's tomorrow night's card supporting the Betfair East Anglian Derby Final.

Please post your selections here on this thread.

Goal Rush (kinda)

Last week in my first foray into this market I made a 0.75pt profit and got close to a decent win.

This week I don't see too much to have a cut at, although the one game I do fancy is Wolves vs Fulham.  This game should be void of clean sheets.

The 4/6 offered by 'Goal Rush' is skinny, but then I looked at other firms and found that Bet365 offer 10/11 in a 'both teams to score' market. Job done.

RECOMMENDATION: WOLVES V FULHAM BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE 10/11 BET365

Saturday 6 (19.9.09)

Well I have had 2 winning weeks but I am not that confident at all this weekend.  I have 2 strong bets but the rest are more hopeful than anything else.

NAP RECOMMENDATION: CHICKEN SUPPER R4 CORK

NB RECOMMENDATION: COUSIN CON R4 SHELBOURNE PARK

RECOMMENDATION: TYRUR FRANCIE R3 SHELBOURNE PARK

RECOMMENDATION: DEANRIDGE FURY R9 SHELBOURNE PARK

RECOMMENDATION: GENEROSITY R11 SHELBOURNE PARK

RECOMMENDATION: TYRUR LIZ R10 WATERFORD

Cashmans Irish Laurels

Gets underway tonight.

0.5pt Each Way Chicken Supper 33/1 Coral

0.5pt Each Way Exciting Dec 33/1 Coral

4 for tonight

HX 810 Mays Castle (no bet if odds on)
HX 955 Lynnway Lorian
ROMF 832 Mays Rocknroller (9/4 Coral)
SUND 915 Skywalker Rose

NFL 2009/2010: Week 2

2 losers last week. Not impressed backing the Giants who were 13 up with 10 to go, conceded a TD and then played the clock down, screwing me an thousands others who backed them to cover the 6.5 spread. Dangerous game that covering the spread lark.

Seattle went well last week and I think they will beat San Francisco handily.  They are 11/10 straight and that is good enough, no need to avail of a percieved 1.5pt disadvantage at the cost of .1 of a point.

RECOMMENDATION: 1pt SEATTLE 11/10 STAN JAMES

Brett Favre started last year well at the Jets and he started well enough last week with his new franchise the Vikings.  This week expect Minnesota to go MENTAL and Favre to score a few TD passes. Detroit are as bad as it gets in the NFL and defensively, they are abysmal.

This could be a game where the umpires could see substitutions as the amount of times the arms are raised vertically could be very high indeed.  And I also think the spread is too low and will go for a bet on the spread of 10 points - Brett and Harvin could go crazy and wont be easing up.

RECOMMENDATION: 1pt VIKINGS TO SCORE OVER 4 TOUCHDOWNS 5/1 WILLIAM HILL

RECOMMENDATION: 1pt VIKINGS (-10)

Premiership 2009/10: Week 6

Came off the rails last week but this week I think I might get closer this time around.

Arsenal are really getting the rub of the green this last week with Eduardo's ban for cheating being overturned and then getting 2 really jammy goals (1 of which was an offside handball!!) in Belgium and if history is anything to go by they will get a real boost from this change of luck. 

Normally I would fancy the flamouyant Wigan side to threaten a weak Arsenal midfield but I think Arsenal will be galvanised at the back.

Stan James go 2/9 that Wigan won't score a goal - a bit short but I agree - they cannot realistically expect a goal at the Emirates.  Sporting Bet and SkyBet take a completely different view and go a comparatively massive '4/6' that only one team will score - so not only is the price great value, you also get a shock Wigan away win 'to nil' thrown in as a sweetener.

RECOMMENDATION: 1 pt ONLY 1 TEAM TO SCORE IN THE ARSENAL V WIGAN MATCH 4/6

Aston Villa are coming back to form at last and an undeserved win at rivals Birmingham should give them the boost to kick on and push for the 4th Champions League spot.  I think Portsmouth are proper doomed and although Villa at 4/9 looks a real money maker, I think backing them on the handicap is the way to go.  I will have 2 bets on this one.  I think Villa could TONK Portsmouth and for that reason I will have 1pt at 5/4 (-1) and 1pt on Asian Handicap at 31/10 (-2.5).

RECOMMENDATION: 1 pt Villa (-2.5) 31/10 Bet 365

RECOMMENDATION: 1 pt Villa (-1) 5/4 Blue Square