NFL Week 5

Thankfully the virus that has affected my betting in the first 3/4s of 2009 has found that NFL is actually immune to it.

I got all 3 bets up last week, and a similar story the previous week.

This week I think the bookies have it sewn up in most cases - I really fancy the Broncos to hold the Patriots to a low score but the overs/unders at 41 is leaving little room for error, and the 3pts handicap is very skimpy indeed. I will swerve this one.

Peyton Manning is on fire at present - possibly the best on current form in the NFL.  I saw the Titans 2 weeks ago and they were dire.  Their season is all but over and I believe the bookies are making a mistake putting them within 3 points of the post-season bound Colts.All but one firm go 10/11 -3.5pts but Coral stick their neck out and go 15/16.  The Colts should win by a lot more than 3 points.

RECOMMENDATION: INDIANAPOLIS -3.5 pts CORAL 15/16

I don't know why but I like the Bengals.  I think Baltimore will be sick after letting the Patriots off the hook, and and any negativity will play to the visitors' benefit.  I don't doubt that the Ravens are worthy 1/4 favourites, but Vegas is giving the Bengals 8pts and I am not convinced the Ravens will put this game to bed before the final quarter. What I am going to do is take a different approach and in effect, bet on a slow start by the Ravens. The half time point spread sees the Bengals recieving 6pts and there is not a heap of difference between 6 and 8.

RECOMMENDATION: CINCINATTI -6pts at Half Time Bet365

I really think Washington are getting too much flak, and for that reason they are a big price (7/4) to win at average at best Carlolina. In fact it's two teams out of sorts - but one is 7/4 and the other is 1/2. Get on. The Panthers will be losing this one, but lets hope their cheerleaders (pictured) have something to cheer about - they are play-off material!

RECOMMENDATION: REDSKINS 7/4 Ladbrokes

Will go for another cheeky treble - they are paying off. This one is just under 5/2.  The Jets are 10/11 at the Dolphins who are not New Orleans, while Dallas have to win in Kansas City at 3/11.  Jacksonville continue to be under-rated. Yes they are favourites but I'd make them 1/3 and not 3/7 which Betfair have them at. No other firms price this one so I will have to take the 3 teams on the exchange multiples. 

RECOMMENDATION: TREBLE JETS, COWBOYS AND  JAGS 3.47 (2.47/1) Betfair

 

Comments

[Ken]

Good luck Johnny ... although I like the Ravens and the Panthers this week so maybe not ;-)

[johnnymoyles]

2 winners 2 losers
jags let me down on the treble - they didnt turn up at all. And the Skins gave away a big lead to get caught in the last 2 minutes.
Indianapolis romped in Nashville and the Bengals covered the spread and beat Ravens.

2/4; -0.15pts