This is a mammoth week. Dallas go to Philadelphia in a Divisional battle. Miami also go to divisional rivals when they visit the Pats who return after a bye-week. Arizona are in the Windy City where a win will do wonders for the postion at the top of a tight group, and my accumulator, which also includes the out of sort Giants (also in the NFC East with Dallas and the Eagles). Giants MUST win this week and they will although the visiting Chargers won't roll over. Pittsburgh in Denver is another massive game. Baltimore in Cincinatti too!
And with all these crucial match ups it becomes nearly impossible to find betting propositions. But with all these close games the spreads will possibly be there to be attacked if you have a strong contrary opinion to the layers.
I'd love to back Arizona with confidence but I fear for them in Chicago especially when the Cards are not protecting Kurt Warner. Would not be surpised if Warner and Fitzgerald have a stormer but will not be tempted.
I think Cincinatti can use homefield advantage to beat the Ravens but the Ravens had a massive result last week. I'd love to take the Bengals with the points but they only reeive 2.5 so in effect if the Ravens win by a field goal the bet is dead. For that reason I see no reason to bet on the spread, and I am not that confident of backing the Bengals straight. Will leave alone and take pointers - the Ravens had a blip but were good last week
I fancy Dallas' chances on the road at the Eagles in Sunday's late game. They are 13/10 with a few firms and I just don't like Philadelphia's team this year. OK they are 5-2 and top of the division, but the teams they have beat were the useless Tampa, Kansas and Carolina, plus the inconsistent Redskins and the Giants who have lost the plot of late. I think Dallas are definitely worth backing and will go for the straight bet.
RECOMMENDATION: DALLAS TO WIN 13/10 BOYLESPORTS
Miami are a massive price to win at 47/10 in New England and I know the Patriots are shit hot but Miami played well last week and the 10.5 pts spread is enticing and I will play.
RECOMMENDATION: MIAMI TO WIN (-10.5) EVENS EXTRABET
The wheels came off the Denver train last week and the Steelers visit the Broncos this weekend and Pittsburgh have the perceived edge. I can't work the bookies out though as they only give them a 3pt advantage yet the home team are well priced at 27/20 with Boyles
RECOMMENDATION: DENVER TO WIN 27/20 BOYLESPORTS
NFL 2009/2010 Season: 23 bets 14 wins Profit +7.30pts
NFL 2008/09 Season: 22 bets; 13 wins; Profit +7.62pts
NFL 2009 YTD 28 bets; 16 wins; Profit +9.00pts
Good luck Johnny, agree with you about Denver but I can't have Dallas on the road.
Posted by: Ken | November 06, 2009 at 08:47 PM
Miami were beat by 10pts PHEW!
Dallas won!
2/2; +2.3pts
Posted by: johnnymoyles | November 09, 2009 at 10:45 AM
The wheels are well off the Bronco train now - they took a good beating last night. So my profit this week is 1.3pts
NFL 2009/2010 Season: 26 bets 16 wins Profit +8.60pts
NFL 2008/09 Season: 22 bets; 13 wins; Profit +7.62pts
NFL 2009 YTD 31 bets; 18 wins; Profit +10.30pts
Posted by: Johnny Moyles | November 10, 2009 at 09:03 PM
Pesky Steelers, they're my team but I was on the Bronco's and their DST did for me in the fantasy too!
Posted by: Ken | November 10, 2009 at 10:13 PM