m a n a b o u t d o g b l o g

Carling Cup 1/4 Finals

I don't bet on Spurs anymore but 14/5(Paddy Power) tonight at Old Trafford is way too big considering United will be considerably understrength.  Spurs have not lost a game in normal time or extra time in this competition for 3 seasons.

RECOMMENDATION: SPURS AT UNITED NO BET

Porstmouth's performances have been encouraging, and Villa look average to me. I know they are good on the counter but I fancy Pompey to play with a bit of freedom and will back them at 13/5 with Coral to send Martin O'Neill boys out of the cup.

RECOMMENDATION: PORTSMOUTH TO BEAT VILLA 13/5 CORAL

I can't bet against Chelsea at Blackburn even though the home side are a big price at 6/1 with most firms.  While a cup tie on a wet night is a big leveller, and Chelsea are due a bad performance, i can't play.

RECOMMENDATION: ROVERS V CHELSEA NO BET

The bet of the week. Arsenal on the road at '7 draws in a row' City.  Arsenal's kids always step up to the platee in this competition and are a blinding bit of value at 100/30 with Coral.

RECOMMENDATION: ARSENAL TO BEAT CITY 100/30 CORAL

Premiership 2009/10: Week 13

I was going to have a nice bet on United at Portsmouth but with a change of manager I am always aware of the rebound factor.  Spurs can put 6 points between them and Villa in the battle for 4th - I expect Aaron Lennon to create havoc too, but no bets for me on Spurs anymore.

Fulham I have already backed to finish in the top half and the top 6.  They bounced backed to form hammering Rovers midweek, and Rovers had done a smash and grab at Bolton the weekend before.  Fulham are a massive price at Even money with Hills and with Danny Murphy back in the team look a good bet. Bolton are hard to break down, but once they go behind they generally have little going forward (unless against Spurs....)

RECOMMENDATION: FULHAM TO BEAT BOLTON EVENS WILLIAM HILL

YTD Premiership 2009/10: 37 BETS 14 WINS; lOSS -1.11pts

Premiership 2009/10: Week 12(cont)

2 games in the Premiership tonight and I think we could see 2 draws.

RECOMMENDATION: HULL V EVERTON DRAW 3.45 BETFAIR (NEARLY 5/2)

RECOMMENDATION: FULHAM V BLACKBURN DRAW 3.4 BETFAIR (12/5)

YTD Premiership 2009/10: 35 BETS 14 WINS; Profit +0.89pts

Premiership 2009/10: Week 12

While not that hot on football as I am on the gridiron, I am straightening out and this season's Premiership is beginning (to me anyway) to become readable.

I'm not sure what the PL record is for draws, but this season there seems to be a lot of em. This week looks a bumper week.

RECOMMENDATION: BIRMINGHAM v FULHAM DRAW 23/10 General

RECOMMENDATION: BURNLEY v ASTON VILLA DRAW 12/5 General

RECOMMENDATION: BOLTON v BLACKBURN DRAW 12/5 General

RECOMMENDATION: HULL v WEST HAM DRAW 12/5  General

RECOMMENDATION: STOKE v PORTSMOUTH DRAW 12/5 General

Premiership 2009/10: 30 BETS 12 WINS;  LOSS 0.91pts

Over 2.5 goals

It's too late to be making predictions so this does not count, but Spurs v Arsenal is surely going to produce more than 2 goals. Cant remember many games it didnt.

Premiership 2009/10: Wk 10

Do the pools - I think there are draws aplenty this weekend.

RECOMMENDATION: ARSENAL v SPURS DRAW 3/1 General

RECOMMENDATION: EVERTON v VILLA DRAW 12/5  General

RECOMMENDATION: SUNDERLAND v WEST HAM DRAW 5/2 General

RECOMMENDATION: BIRMINGHAM v MAN CITY DRAW 5/2  General

PREMIERSHIP 2009/10: 22 BETS 9 WINS LOSS -3.31pts

Premiership 2009/10: Week 9

A winner last week when I got a 2/1 treble up.

This week I am not brave enough to go for a Liverpool win at home to United. I will go for a quirky one on tomorrow's Spurs v Stoke game.

I think Aaron Lennon and possibly Kranjcar will see lots of the ball and I really think it is a perfect scenario for a penalty. I also think Robbie Keane will get lots of chances with Crouch nodding them down - although if Spurs opt for a lot of up and under versus Stoke, it will be meat and drink for the Potters.

RECOMMENDATION: PENALTY TO BE AWARDED 13/5 BOYLESPORTS

RECOMMENDATION: ROBBIE KEANE TO SCORE AT ANY TIME IN MATCH 11/8 BOYLESPORTS

PREMIERSHIP 2009/10: 20 BETS 9 WINS LOSS -1.31pts

Champions League 2009/10: Gameweek 3

I read the man in the Racing Post suggesting that Arsene Wenger would happily take a 1-0 win tonight in Alkmaar.  I disagree.  Arsene Wenger and Arsenal only know one way, a throwback to the black and white era and every neutral's favourite team.  Expect goals and lots of them tonight.

I would suggest betting that both teams to score would not be a crazy thing to do although it's a bit skinny at 0.83/1

RECOMMENDATION: AZ ALKMAAR v ARSENAL OVER 2.5goals Betfair 1.77 (0.77/1)

Liverpool are really struggling and yes they could whack in a few tonight but I don't think so, not against this strong Lyon team who are very good away from home in the Champions League group stages.  A low scoring draw looks the most likely result.

RECOMMENDATION: LIVERPOOL v LYON DRAW 13/5 general

RECOMMENDATION: LIVERPOOL v LYON UNDER 2.5 goals Betfair 1.85 (0.85/1)

A cheeky 1pt Accumulator on the exchanges as well working out at 4.17 (3.17/1)

RECOMMENDATION: ACCUMULATOR: Rangers (5/6), Fiorentina (2/5), Inter (4/9) & Barcelona (1/8)

Premiership 2009/10: Week 8

RECOMMENDATION: ARSENAL, MAN UTD & STOKE CITY TREBLE

PREMIERSHIP 2009/10: 19 BETS 8 WINS LOSS -3.32pts

Premiership 2009/10: Week 7

Kind of not getting the Premiership this year again.  That 'goal rush' lark is tough enough.

I will go for 3 bets that look fairly solid, one of them SHOULD come up, 2 or 3 hopefully.

Spurs are irresistable at present against teams of less quality, and they are a standout EVEN money to win at Bolton on Saturday afternoon. I also think if Spurs do win there is more than a possibility they can hit 3,4,5 goals.

RECOMMENDATION: SPURS EVENS CORAL

RECOMMENDATION: SPURS(-1) 3/1 BOYLESPORTS

Chelski(6/5) and Liverpool (11/4)is always a close game.  In my book I make the draw the most likely result.

Arguably, the Blues have the best top flight home league record in Europe so it is very hard to see them losing. The logical bet is Chelsea ('Draw No Bet' or Handicap) but 3/1 minus a goal and 4/7 DNB do not appeal.  Draws are not on the agenda for these boys at present, both winning 5 and losing 1 of their las 6 league games, but the record between these teams is astounding, especially when you include cup and Champions League matches.

If we simply look at the last 2 years there have been 8 games and 3 draws - with Chelsea winning 3.  If we look at the couple of years before hand there has been a squeak between these sides.

RECOMMENDATION: CHELSEA V LIVERPOOL DRAW 12/5 SKYBET, BETFAIR

PREMIERSHIP 2009/10: 19 BETS 8 WINS LOSS -0.32pts