m a n a b o u t d o g b l o g

Tipperary value at 3/1

Tipperary face Kilkenny in the All Ireland Hurling Final on Sunday at Croke Park.

Generally Tipperary are 9/4 and 5/2 in places. However I have found a bookie in Portumna, Co. Galway that is going 3/1 Tipperary. Must be worth a tinkle even if only on the grounds of good value.

RECOMMENDATION: TIPPERARY 3/1 O'Meara's Bookmakers, Portumna

Limerick to beat Waterford

After losing on the game last week, I have to go with Limerick this evening.

11/8 with Paddy Power, I fancy Limerick to dismiss the ageing Waterford side who were hapless in the 2nd half last week, getting just 2 points, both from frees.

RECOMMENDATION: Limerick to beat Waterford 11/8 Paddy Power

Rebels to make no mistake this time and Decies to destroy Limerick

I watched Cork and Kerry draw last week and have to agree the Rebels 'left it behind them in Killarney.

I expect them to come out all guns blazing tomorrow and  and while I can't see the Gooch playing as bad as he did for Kerry last week again, I would not be surprised if this ended up all square again.

In a game that is likely to be decided by very few points (handicap generally is 1pt in favour of Kerry) the 7/5 offered by Ladbrokes on a victory for Cork is too big.

RECOMMENDATION: Cork to beat Kerry in the Munster Football Championship

I am told Waterford will destroy Limerick in Thurles on Sunday, and judging by how Limerick played last year I cannot see them getting near the beaten All Ireland Finalists.  They are 8/11 best price but with a 2 point deficit they are Evens with Ladbrokes. 

I think this is the BET OF THE WEEKEND.

RECOMMENDATION: Waterford to beat Limerick by more than 2 points Evens Ladbrokes

Tipperary v Cork Munster SHC

Off to watch the hurling this afternoon.

The sun is splitting the stones here and it is going to be very hard for fellas to stay running around for extended periods this afternoon.

I expect the key point getters to have lots of space this afternoon and will be expecting a very high scoring game.

RECOMMENDATION: TOTAL POINTS TIPP V CORK OVER 41.5 pts Ladbrokes 5/6

Ireland too big at 6/1 to win 2010 Six Nations

Ireland deservedly clinched their first Championship in a quarter of a century at the weekend, and also their second ever Grand Slam - the first was 61 years ago.

I know they have tough away games next year - England and France are improving sides too. And Ireland are best priced 7/2 and generally 3/1 to win the 6 Nations Championship with all the firms - but the 'magic sign' are out to get them!  Ladbrokes amazingly chalk the boys in Green up at 6/1.

I've backed them already today and advise you all do the same - you will surely be able to lay them off at much shorter.

RECOMMENDATION: Ireland 6 Nations Champions 6/1 Ladbrokes (with a view to lay)

Munster

  I don't normally bet on Rugb y as I have no real affinity with it, but yesterday I couldn't refuse to bet on what I saw was a huge rick by the bookmakers who offered the Heineken Cup Champions at 10/11 with a 24 point start to beat New Zealand.

Now granted I didn't really fancy the 9/1 shots to beat the All Blacks, but they were not going to roll over and die at Thomond Park, and seeing as the TriNations winners 'only' beat Ireland by 19 points, I thought that the layers had vastly underestimated Munster. For that reason I played, and flagged this on a forum yesterday - I wasn't sure if I was missing a basic flaw in my reasoning.

At the end of the game Munster were very unlucky not to win the actual game, and went down 18-16 courtesy of a try in the last 5 minutes.  I didn't post it as a selection on here as I just wasn't confident I was doing the right thing.

KILKENNY BY A DISTANCE

Kilkenny are Evens to win by more than 5 points against Waterford in the All Ireland Hurling

Recommendation: Kilkenny (-5) EVENS Paddy Power

Tipp v Waterford DRAW

Hope some of you got on Hypnotic Vibes - won at a canter backed in to 7/4.

Seeing as I can do no wrong I am going to have a lash at what I see as a huge value bet this afternoon in the Guinness All Ireland Hurling Semi Final between Tipperary and Waterford.  Tipp are unbeaten all season and will be widely fancied this afternoon, but I am a firm believer that the weather is a great leveller in big sports matches and Boylesports 11/1 for the draw is HUGE compared with the other firms.

Recommendation: Tipperary v Waterford DRAW 11/1

Munster Hurling Championship: Cork v Tipperary

I am told that Tipp haven't won in Cork in the Championship since the 1920s but the League winners are unbeaten in competitive matches in 2008 and have a big chance this afternoon.

The draw is priced at 9/1 and I think that is too big considering the even look to this affair, with both sides priced at 5/4 to win which means the bookies make it 1/8 NOT to be a draw which doesn't make sense to me.

Recommendation: DRAW